Sunday, November 8, 2009

Titanic Shift Revisited

Just talked to someone about this and they informed me that this bill has yet to pass the Senate.  For some reason I thought it had...  However, I think the democrat-controlled Senate will pass this bill. We'll see...
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2 comments:

  1. JasonNovember 9, 2009 at 1:40 AM

    Mike,

    Not over yet. It has to go to the Senate, where it can be delayed until after the New Year. Then there will have to be a mash up of the Senante finance and the Senate health proposals. Then a vote, perhaps as far along as February.

    By then, you have the Senate bill and the House bill, so it goes to conference. The key is whether or not the majority tries to ram it through as a continuing resolution, rather than an ordinary bill in the Senate. An ordinary bill needs 60 votes to end debate. This bill won't, in ten thousand years, get 60 votes. A continuing resolution will only require 50 votes. That is the nuclear option, if so, then that signifies that both the Senate and House majorities are willing to go down next November over this.

    I feel really certain that what we saw in the House this weekend will not pass, because it only got 220 votes.

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  2. MIKENovember 9, 2009 at 1:13 PM

    I'm inclined to agree. Most reports that I have been reading are leaning to your viewpoint. Some pundits are saying that this bill is basically DOA in the senate. Another analyst I've been reading said that the recent November election is a warning for the Dems that the folks are concerned about this. So if the Dems decide to stick to their guns - they'll need to be willing to go down (i.e. political suicide) for their convictions. We'll see...

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